000
WTPZ25 KNHC 082036
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
2100 UTC MON JUL 08 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 110.8W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 110.8W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 110.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.6N 112.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.7N 113.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.4N 115.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 25.7N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 110.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY