000
WTPZ25 KNHC 021450
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
1500 UTC TUE AUG 02 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 109.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 109.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 109.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.5N 111.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.3N 113.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.1N 115.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.8N 117.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 19.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 20.5N 129.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG