000
WTPZ25 KNHC 261437
TCMEP5
HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052010
1500 UTC SAT JUN 26 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 102.9W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 102.9W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 102.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.3N 103.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.3N 104.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.5N 104.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.0N 103.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 14.3N 103.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 14.7N 102.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 15.0N 102.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 102.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA