000
WTPZ25 KNHC 201449
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202009
1500 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD AND FOR THE
EAST COAST FROM BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF BUENA VISTA TO LA PAZ AND FOR THE
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO NORTHWARD THROUGH ALTATA.   
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN MAINLAND
MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICK.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 110.8W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 110.8W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 111.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.1N 109.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 22.7N 107.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 24.5N 105.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.4N 102.7W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 110.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH