000
WTPZ25 KNHC 200837
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202009
0900 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA
ON THE WEST COAST SOUTHWARD AND FROM BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD ON THE
EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM EL
ROBLITO NORTHWARD THROUGH ALTATA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
NORTH OF BUENA VISTA TO LA PAZ.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN MAINLAND
MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICK.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.5W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 145NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 200SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.5W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 111.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 110.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N 109.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 23.6N 107.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 25.5N 104.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 111.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BEVEN