000
WTPZ25 KNHC 200247
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202009
0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LA
PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT
OR EARLY TUESDAY.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTH OF AGUA
BLANCA ON THE WEST COAST AND NORTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST.
 
ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED ON TUESDAY FOR THE
COAST OF WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.8W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  75SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 220SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.8W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 111.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.9N 111.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  60SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 21.3N 110.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 23.0N 108.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 24.8N 106.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 111.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BROWN