000
WTPZ25 KNHC 171436
TCMEP5
HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202009
1500 UTC SAT OCT 17 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.0W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.0W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 102.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.7N 104.9W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.3N 107.4W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.2N 109.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.1N 111.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...165NE 140SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...165NE 165SE 140SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 21.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 24.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 103.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN