000
WTPZ25 KNHC 071439
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152009
1500 UTC MON SEP 07 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 126.3W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 126.3W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 126.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.6N 127.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.0N 128.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.3N 129.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.8N 130.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.8N 131.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 21.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.5N 134.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 126.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN