000
WTPZ25 KNHC 070830
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152009
0900 UTC MON SEP 07 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 125.6W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 125.6W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 125.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 15.8N 126.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.2N 128.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.9N 129.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.5N 131.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 21.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.5N 134.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 125.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH