000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160849
TCMEP5
HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 137.4W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......105NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 137.4W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 136.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.3N 139.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.2N 142.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.2N 144.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.3N 147.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 26.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 29.0N 159.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 137.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG