000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152159
TCMEP5
HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
ISSUED BY NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2009

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 134.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 134.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 133.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.7N 136.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.4N 141.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.3N 144.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.3N 149.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 26.5N 154.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 29.1N 160.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 134.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CRAIG