000
WTPZ25 KNHC 151432
TCMEP5
HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
1500 UTC SAT AUG 15 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 133.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 133.2W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 132.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.5N 135.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.0N 140.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.9N 142.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.0N 148.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 26.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 28.5N 159.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 133.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN