000
WTPZ25 KNHC 150832
TCMEP5
HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
0900 UTC SAT AUG 15 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 131.9W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 131.9W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 131.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.2N 134.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.8N 136.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.4N 139.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.2N 141.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  15SE  15SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 27.5N 157.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 131.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN