000
WTPZ25 KNHC 142032
TCMEP5
HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
2100 UTC FRI AUG 14 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 128.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 128.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 128.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.3N 130.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.8N 133.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.4N 136.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 138.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 23.0N 149.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 128.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN