000
WTPZ25 KNHC 140830
TCMEP5
HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
0900 UTC FRI AUG 14 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 125.9W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 125.9W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 125.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.9N 127.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.4N 130.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.0N 133.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.6N 135.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 141.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 146.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 23.0N 151.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 125.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN