000
WTPZ25 KNHC 130242
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
0300 UTC THU AUG 13 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.2W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.2W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 118.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.7N 121.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.1N 123.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.5N 134.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 18.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 18.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 119.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA