000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160834
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052009
0900 UTC THU JUL 16 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 119.1W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 119.1W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 118.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.5N 121.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 124.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 134.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 25.5N 138.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 26.0N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 119.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA