000
WTPZ25 KNHC 160231
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052009
0300 UTC THU JUL 16 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 117.4W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 117.4W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 116.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.2N 119.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.4N 122.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 128.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.0N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 25.5N 143.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 117.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE