000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152032
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052009
2100 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 116.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 116.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 116.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.1N 118.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.4N 121.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.6N 124.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.5N 133.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 22.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 22.0N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 116.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN