000
WTPZ25 KNHC 151433
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052009
1500 UTC WED JUL 15 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.6W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 115.6W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 115.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.5N 119.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.7N 122.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.5N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 21.5N 143.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 115.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN