000
WTPZ25 KNHC 082030
TCMEP5
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
2100 UTC WED OCT 08 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF NORBERT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.2W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 125SE 125SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 111.2W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.2N 112.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.3N 113.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.7N 113.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 110SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N 113.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.0N 110.5W...OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 32.0N 106.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 111.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN