000
WTPZ25 KNHC 062035
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052008
2100 UTC SUN JUL 06 2008
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM EAST OF
LAZARO CARDENAS TO ACAPULCO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 102.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 102.8W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 102.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.5N 103.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.4N 104.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 105.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 21.5N 115.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 102.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH