000
WTPZ25 KNHC 210858
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
0900 UTC SUN OCT 21 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER TODAY.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIKO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  65SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 150SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 107.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.8N 107.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.2N 108.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.6N 109.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 23.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 23.5N 121.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 107.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI