000
WTPZ25 KNHC 202032
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
2100 UTC SAT OCT 20 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL MEXICO
AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KIKO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 106.9W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 106.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.2N 107.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.9N 107.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE 105SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.4N 108.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.8N 109.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 105SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 121.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 106.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN