000
WTPZ25 KNHC 161441
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM KIKO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
1500 UTC TUE OCT 16 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 108.5W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 108.5W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 108.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.3N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.3N 108.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 16.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 16.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 108.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA