000
WTPZ24 KNHC 300239
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192023
0300 UTC MON OCT 30 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  92.0W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  92.0W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  92.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.2N  91.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 11.6N  90.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 12.0N  89.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.3N  88.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.0N  88.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 11.2N  89.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z  9.9N  93.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z  9.0N  97.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N  92.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 30/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN