000
WTPZ24 KNHC 282055
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192023
2100 UTC SAT OCT 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  92.7W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N  92.7W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  92.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 10.7N  92.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 10.9N  92.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 11.1N  92.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.6N  91.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 12.3N  90.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.0N  89.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 11.3N  90.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z  9.5N  94.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N  92.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE