000
WTPZ24 KNHC 180856
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092023
0900 UTC FRI AUG 18 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 110.8W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......250NE 170SE  90SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 110.8W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 110.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 112.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...250NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.2N 113.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 190SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.4N 114.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...230NE 190SE 150SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...220NE 190SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 28.7N 115.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 32.9N 116.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 43.6N 117.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 110.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 18/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG