000
WTPZ24 KNHC 180244
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092023
0300 UTC FRI AUG 18 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 110.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT.......100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 110.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.7N 111.4W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.4N 112.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 140SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.5N 113.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT...105NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...230NE 210SE 150SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.0N 114.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...230NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 27.2N 115.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 130SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 30.7N 116.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 39.0N 118.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 110.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 18/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN