000
WTPZ24 KNHC 070832
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092022
0900 UTC SUN AUG 07 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 109.1W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 109.1W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 108.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.3N 110.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.7N 112.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.1N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.0N 117.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 22.8N 118.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 23.7N 121.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 24.0N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 109.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/BROWN