000
WTPZ24 KNHC 071435
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
1500 UTC THU JUL 07 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 113.7W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 113.7W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 113.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N 116.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.5N 119.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.1N 122.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.6N 126.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.8N 130.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.9N 133.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 113.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN