234 
WTPZ24 KNHC 041447
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
1500 UTC MON JUL 04 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COASTS OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  99.0W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  99.0W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  98.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.4N 101.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.1N 104.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.6N 106.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.0N 108.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.2N 110.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.4N 112.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.6N 117.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 19.1N 124.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  99.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN