000
WTPZ24 KNHC 270857
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021
0900 UTC FRI AUG 27 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF NORA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 103.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 103.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 103.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.3N 104.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.6N 105.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.5N 106.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.6N 106.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE  70SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N 107.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.2N 108.9W...NEAR BAJA CAL SUR
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 24.9N 110.4W...NEAR BAJA CAL SUR
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 27.1N 111.6W...NEAR BAJA CAL SUR
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 103.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 27/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN/BEVEN