000
WTPZ24 KNHC 252049
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142021
2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2021
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION.  WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A
PORTION OF THE COAST ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  99.4W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  99.4W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  99.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.0N 100.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 12.8N 102.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.6N 103.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.7N 105.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.2N 106.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 106.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 21.1N 109.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 22.7N 112.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N  99.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG