000
WTPZ24 KNHC 060246
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192020
0300 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 105.6W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 105.6W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 13.8N 106.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.0N 106.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 13.8N 106.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 13.7N 106.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.9N 106.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.1N 106.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 14.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 15.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 105.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/ZELINSKY