000
WTPZ24 KNHC 180238
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
0300 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.2N 131.0W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.2N 131.0W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.1N 130.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z  9.4N 132.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z  9.9N 134.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 10.4N 135.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.2N 137.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 15.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N 142.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.2N 131.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN