000
WTPZ24 KNHC 161440
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192015
1500 UTC FRI OCT 16 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 125.2W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 125.2W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.7N 124.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z  9.6N 127.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z  9.6N 129.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z  9.6N 130.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z  9.9N 132.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 10.9N 135.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 12.8N 137.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 14.9N 140.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  9.7N 125.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN