000
WTPZ24 KNHC 312037
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 111.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 111.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.7N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.3N 115.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.2N 115.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.3N 114.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.6N 114.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI