000
WTPZ24 KNHC 310830
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092015
0900 UTC FRI JUL 31 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 130.6W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 130.6W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 130.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 12.1N 132.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.7N 135.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.3N 138.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.1N 140.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 16.5N 146.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 17.5N 150.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 130.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH