000
WTPZ24 KNHC 061433
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
1500 UTC MON OCT 06 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 117.4W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 117.4W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 117.5W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.9N 117.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 27.0N 116.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.1N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 29.4N 114.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 32.0N 112.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 117.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH