000
WTPZ24 KNHC 060241
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
0300 UTC MON OCT 06 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 117.6W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 117.6W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 117.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.6N 117.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.7N 117.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 26.9N 116.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 28.1N 115.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 30.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 117.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN