000
WTPZ24 KNHC 032040
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
2100 UTC FRI OCT 03 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 110.6W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 110.6W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 110.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.2N 112.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.0N 114.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.9N 115.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.9N 116.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 24.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 25.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 110.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN