000
WTPZ24 KNHC 070232
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
0300 UTC SUN SEP 07 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
SOUTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA ABREOJOS TO PUNTA EUGENIA
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 115.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 115.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 115.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.9N 116.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 26.9N 117.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 27.9N 117.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 28.8N 117.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 29.7N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 115.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN