000 WTPZ24 KNHC 052039 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SAN EVARISTO TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE * NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA EUGENIA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 112.2W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 90SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 270SE 140SW 160NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 112.2W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 112.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.3N 113.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N 114.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.8N 115.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 26.5N 116.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.4N 117.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 29.2N 117.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 29.5N 117.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 112.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN