000
WTPZ24 KNHC 040244
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
0300 UTC THU SEP 04 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO
CABO SAN LAZARO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LAZARO NORTHWARD
TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO CABO SAN LAZARO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 109.8W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 160SE 160SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 109.8W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 109.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.7N 111.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.8N 112.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.7N 113.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 25.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 27.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 29.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 109.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN