000
WTPZ24 KNHC 032055
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
2100 UTC WED SEP 03 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ MEXICO
TO SAN EVARISTO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SANTA FE NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
* NORTH OF LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 109.2W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 109.2W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 109.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.1N 110.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.9N 110.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.9N 111.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N 112.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 26.0N 116.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 28.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 109.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE