000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021445
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 106.5W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 240SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 106.5W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.6N 107.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.3N 108.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 109.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.8N 112.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 106.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE