000
WTPZ24 KNHC 051450
TCMEP4

HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ISELLE.  WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS BY
LATER TODAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 139.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 139.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.3N 141.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.9N 143.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.6N 147.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.3N 150.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.0N 156.5W...NEAR HAWAII
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N 162.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N 166.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ISELLE.  FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA23 PHFO...BEGINNING AT 05/2100Z.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN