000
WTPZ24 KNHC 050239
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
0300 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ISELLE.  WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS ON
TUESDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.0W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 138.0W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 137.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.1N 139.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.5N 141.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.2N 144.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.9N 147.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N 154.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 21.0N 160.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.0N 165.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 138.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN