000
WTPZ24 KNHC 042033
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
2100 UTC MON AUG 04 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ISELLE.  WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE ISLANDS ON
TUESDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.4W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.4W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.2N 138.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.5N 140.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.1N 142.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.8N 146.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.5N 153.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.0N 159.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 22.5N 164.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 137.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG